Welcome to Week 15 of The OSG Report. Or should we call it the COVID UPDATE. We are going to lay out a list of playable players in fantasy. Some of you are grinding DFS and some are in season-long playoffs. COVID is getting to a point where evaluating bodies on the field with expected full time roles is all we need.
So here we go!
Josh Allen — Carolina does not present the best matchup on paper for opposing QBs but their defense is at the mercy of a fading offense. Should be plenty of short fields for Allen and crew. Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, and interestingly Gabe Davis with no Manny Sanders make for good stack mates. Always throw Dawson Knox in there as well.
Kyler Murrary — Even with no D-Hop it’s a SMASH spot in Detroit’s dome as AZ is playing for top seeds here. If James Conner is ruled out it will be interesting to see how AZ handles red zone plays. But if Conner is out, maybe Kyler runs or throws more. AJ Green and Christian Kirk are great pairs.
Aaron Rodgers — He continues to play thru a foot injury and he’s playing great. He and Devante Adams are on another level still and get a juicy matchup vs Baltimore.
Jimmy G — He’s not far above Tua here, but he’s playing Atlanta. And it’s just one of the BEST matchups you can ask for at home while rolling. Kittle’s hot. Aiyuk showed up. Deebo is a “WRB1.” Jimmy G may not have the highest ceiling but has a good ceiling and a chance to save salary $.
Tua Tagovailoa — He’s a much better play if Jaylen Waddle can get off of the COVID list but it’s a GREAT matchup vs the Jets and we can still pair him with a CHEAP DeVante Parker. Jimmy G vs Atlanta, and Tua vs the Jets gives some salary relief if you need it.
Davis Mills — This is if you’re playing in LARGE fields. As crazy as it sounds he’s had 300 yards 3 times (vs Seattle..see Kyler..vs the Rams believe it or not..and vs New England!). So vs JAX whom just fired their head coach anything is possible. He’s locked in on Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins and could be a cheap 300-yard bonus with multiple TD upside here.
Wide Receiver — We mentioned a few above, but where we can start at WR? Let’s start up top with the spend ups.
DaVante Adams — The ceiling is sky high. Not only does Baltimore give up the most 20+ yard receptions, but also the most 40+ yards.
Deebo Samuel — He HAS to get the rushing attempts at this point because he is running so very few routes. I’d think long and hard about Eli Mitchell’s availability. Between a few passes that could go for a TD and forced rushing attempts in the red zone he still has a ceiling. But it’s risky, but it’s Atlanta as well…
Stefon Diggs — Always has a floor, but Allen spreads it out so much it limits the ceiling. If you like Allen, KEEP PLAYING DIGGS!!
Diontae Johnson — The targets stay there even on Ben’s worse days. Pittsburgh actually has a shot at the playoffs and the AFC North is still very much up for grabs. Vs Tennessee here it’s a big AFC matchup and the Steelers best players are coming to play.
CeeDee Lamb — Continues to be Dak’s preferred option. Dak is hurt so it’s limiting his own fantasy ceiling. But I still like Lamb’s chances for a ceiling game vs the Giants in a must win game.
Ja’Marr Chase — We saw last week that even in pass heavy scripts, even in slow games, the big plays are still within his range of outcomes. Cincy needs a win here, and they must rely on the best options. Run the ball, then play action for the big plays has been their formula.
Tee Higgins — Can repeat the Chase speech. The TDs have finally come around for Higgins and have been a big boost to his box score.
Brandon Aiyuk — Just as shaky as Deebo, but it’s Atlanta. Aiyuk can and will disappear at times, but when he reappears, it’s in a big way.
Russell Gage — Hate it, but he’s slowly the #1WR in ATL vs a beatable secondary. The bad thing is Matt Ryan is throwing him passes.
Christian Kirk — Big play ability and targets available with no D-Hop. At Detroit…The dome…
Amon Ra-St. Brown — As long as Swift remains out, Detroit has passed more to WRs and he’s been the biggest beneficiary.
Rashod Bateman — I’m not sure why they insist on running the overly injured Sammie Watkins at the WR3 over Bateman. As soon as Watkins went back out, Bateman promptly went for 100 with Hundley at QB. I like his price if Watkins is ruled OUT.
AJ Green — Coming off 100 yards WITH D HOP, the sky is the limit with NO D Hop vs Detroit.
Cole Beasley — Re-emergence possible with no Manny Sanders. The new #2 WR in Buffalo.
Robbie Anderson — I fell on him last week in a few lineups just because his price tag fit in the flex as last piece in. But it was Atlanta (which is why you have to pick a SF player this week). It’s a tough road matchup vs Buffalo. DJ Moore is VERY questionable with a hamstring. NO CMAC.
Leviska Shenault — With Meyer FINALLY out, will they unleash their best WR on the roster. It’s a good spot to attack vs Houston on paper. We just have to trust Trevor Lawrence and a new offensive game plan to work.
DeVante Parker — I like him with or without Waddle here. But it’s a HUGE boost if he’s out. His price. The opportunity. The matchup vs the Jets COULD NOT BE BETTER.
Gabriel Davis — With No Manny Sanders, he is going to slide up to #3 (though he could see a bigger target share than Beasley). He’s been involved and could be good value to build around.
Allen Lazard — For all the same reasons I like Adams you have to consider Lazard here. He’s the big play guy downfield and we saw the stats for Baltimore regarding big plays. At 4K I don’t hate it. In fact I like it.
Nico Collins — Too cheap for the #2 WR role here if Mills throws 300 yards. Saw 10 targets last week.
Najee Harris — The load has returned. Decent spot in must win game. The Vegas total does not show the projected elevated snap count in this game, but it has a potential to be a surprisingly fast paced game.
Joe Mixon — Bellcow…20 touches incoming.
Cordarrelle Patterson — Gets there on efficiency alone but he keeps getting there with those TDs.
Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon — I think we can play either or both and be fine here. Both have 15–20 fantasy point upside.
Tony Pollard — Returned to practice…Zeek is just not himself. This is a game Dallas should control and always bodes well for the running back with the lead to pile on extra work to close out a game. A lot of IFS.
Myles Gaskin — He is back OFF the Covid list and should smash vs The Jets. It’s the Jets.
Devonta Freeman — 20 carry upside here for Baltimore. Just check the game logs.
James Robinson — The new interim head coach stated Robinson will (as he should have been all along) the clear #1 RB in JAX. Great timing vs a weak Houston front.
D’onta Foreman — The TD sure saved him last week as he and Penny climbed my list Sunday Morning. But it’s the same thing. A split backfield with with Dontrell Hiliard on a 9–4 football team with a smart head coach in a HUGE game. Foreman exited the game last week and missed some possessions limiting his snap count and touch count in game well in hand. Sneaky play to me here.
Chase Edmonds — Assuming he’s activated off IR this week, and if Conner is out, he’s elevated here as a good to great play. He and Conner are good plays together, but Edmonds is great here if Conner is out.
George Kittle — Just ballin the last 3 weeks. No other way to put it. Great matchup vs ATL and they will NOT be able to stop him. The only thing that will stop him is Deebo, Aiyuk or Eli running it in from 50 yards out.
Mark Andrews — He’s a SMASH play here behind Kittle vs Green Bay. They get beat my every TE faced and of lesser talent. He’s catching from whomever QB is active here.
Dawson Knox — Never forsake him in weeks we love Allen. The floor can be low with the WR core and the way Allen runs and spreads it out. But we saw the ceiling last week vs Tampa and that was no fluke.
Mike Gesicki — I like him if Waddle cannot go.
Pat Freiermuth — He’s a TD machine in a must win game.
Brevin Jordan — Who? TE in Houston. Keeps producing and is cheap enough to fire out there when spending up elsewhere vs the Jags.
Brock Wright — Hockenson is done for the season. #1 TE on a team throwing it “more” to WRs and TEs with no Swift.
Defense — Just like any week, for the price and reason they’re all in play. The more offensive weapons a team loses (especially with COVID) leading into Sunday elevates defenses this week.
Dolphins — It’s the Jets…and Miami has a legit good defense.
Cowboys — They keep forcing sacks and turnovers which we NEED in fantasy. Shouldn’t stop vs the lowly Giants. Glennon will be under siege all day.
Packers — The D line should get at whomever is playing for Baltimore. BUT both Lamar and Hundley can escape. Should be interesting.
49ers — Pray for Matt Ryan. Under Seige 2
Bills — Whoever plays QB for Carolina has a tendency to throw it to the other team.
Jets — Ouch but ya know. They’re cheap. Miami may not “drop 38” on them in this division game. But hey…they could drop 38 on them.
Carolina — Cheapest they’ll ever be. It’s still a good defense and Allen can turn it over at times and just be outright sloppy.
Situation to monitor:
Bengals at Broncos — Last week it was 49ers vs Bengals and both defenses produced good fantasy numbers. I see that potential here for all the same reasons. Jimmy G is pedestrian at times. So is Bridgewater. Denver is surprisingly 7–6 and right there in the wild card hunt. They’re not wow players but they’re fully healthy on offense which is more than most teams (COVID and injuries) and Cincy plays smart time-controlled ball. So these defenses are in play though I’ll play small pieces on offense.