Week 3 of The OSG Report is here! We are 2–0 in play so far this season and we are going for a 3-game winning streak. It’s a very deep week at each position and we are still working on seeing what numbers are real and what is simply a 2-game sample. With that said, let’s dive right in!
Quarterback Stacks
Josh Allen — There is no reason to skip over Allen — Stefon Diggs stacks this week. Diggs has a great matchup. This is a divisional game that should be competitive and Allen/Diggs stacks should be run back with Jaylen Waddle or Tyreek Hill. Gabe Davis is expected back, and we cannot ignore his TD target usage with Allen.
Tua Tagovailoa — On the other side of the game, it’s a tough matchup for Tua. He will experience pressure and will be tested. As long as we can get a full 4 quarter effort with Tua playing from behind you can justify the stacks with Waddle and Hill as the stacks exploded in Week 2 behind a 400+ yard effort from Tua. As above run these stacks back with Diggs.
Patrick Mahomes — Enter my favorite Week 3 QB that will come in at very low ownership in tournaments as Allen and Hurts on paper will produce better projections. I cannot guarantee that Mahomes will outscore them, but he is sure set up to compete for QB1 this week. He’s on the road but gets a dome vs a team who just got beat well by Trevor Lawrence and both Hurts and Allen get division rivals for what it’s worth. Mahomes to Travis Kelce stacks will be amongst my favorite (adding a WR in the flex almost makes a 5-WR lineup when you consider Kelce’s volume and production) along with mixing in Ju-Ju Smith-Schuster who has a big game coming. I will even play MVS for his downfield threat.
Jalen Hurts — Speaking of Hurts, the Eagles are rolling and he’s a no-brainer. You can play him with AJ Brown or Dallas Goedert here. I do intend on having a heavy dose of Hurts and running it back with Curtis Samuel.
Carson Wentz — On the other side of Hurts is Wentz who is going to be allowed to throw for 300 yards each game, and at a flat price of 6.3K on DK, he’s a cheap stack with his favorite WR thru 2 weeks Curtis Samuel. Samuel is 5.1K a huge discount away from Terry McLaurin. The price on Jahan Dotson at 4.6K is still good. If we favor the Eagles winning, and Wentz throwing from behind, we can run this stack back with Miles Sanders.
Kirk Cousins — Yes, he bombed Monday Night, but he always does on primetime. He’s back at home in the dome vs a Lions defense that is going to create shootouts and great matchups EVERY SINGLE WEEK. You go right back to Cousins and Justin Jefferson here and do not hesitate. Irv Smith is in play in stacks as well and running it back with Amon Ra St. Brown.
Joe Burrow — Yes, I am going back to Burrow — Ja’Marr Chase stacks. Tee Higgins is in the same spot and should be mixed into Burrow stacks if you go here. It’s a team that does not want to go 0–2 and the Jets present a bounce back spot. This game shot out last season to the tune of 34–31 and for the most part have the same rosters (add Garrett Wilson who will be in Burrow stacks as a run back) and coaching staff. Could be some sneaky fantasy value if you bypass it’s the Jets.
Honorable Mentions — Lamar Jackson gets a very tough matchup in a slow game vs New England. However, it’s Lamar, they have no RBs and are pass heavy right now and we saw the rushing and passing upside last week with a connection brewing with Rashod Bateman. Justin Herbert is banged up and if he is limited in any way it kills the passing game for the Chargers AND could make the Jags side more intriguing if they keep it close. That could add a bump if you’re interested in Trevor Lawrence — Christian Kirk stacks and they have a clear connection. I’ve started every lineup Weeks 1–2 with Amon Ra St. Brown. It only makes sense to consider Jared Goff in this shootout. The Vikings defense always presents shootout chances. With both the Vikings and Lions lacking defensively, it’s just a fantasy free for all.
Wide Receivers — Every WR mentioned in the stack section is playable stand alone without their QB. We NEED their 30–40-point ceilings that RBs just do not have.
Cooper Kupp — His ceiling is sky high, and his stat line is UNBELIEVABLE with Matt Stafford. While I will not play Stafford, Kupp is overall the #1WR on the board. Justin Jefferson and Davante Adams offer discounts but can disappear as we saw in Weeks 2 for them both, Kupp is the safest bet even when Stafford struggles.
Davante Adams — Speaking of Adams he should bounce back vs a Titans defense not as good as advertised. Waller will eat targets, but Hunter Renfrow is out Week 3, and the Raiders should make an effort to go back to Adams here.
Michael Pittman — A practice injury led to Pittman missing Week 2 and will be back Week 3 and we saw the difference of the offense with and without him. He should jump right back into his Week 1 role in a game they will be trailing and passing.
Christian Kirk — We should curb expectations vs this Chargers defense on the road, but he’s still locked in as the #1WR for Jax. He’s priced at 6.2K but has a 7K-ish weekly role.
Michael Thomas — He’s right back to eating up targets and even with the INTs they are going to let Winston be a gun slinger.
Allen Robinson — May be tough to stomach, but Week 2 Robinson is more of what we will see over Week 1 Robinson. Plus, he had a TD taken off the board in Week 2 which would have given him 2 TDs.
Garrett Wilson — Another tough to stomach play being that it is the Jets, but at 5.4K with 8 & 12 targets for a 5.3K QB in Flacco who’s thrown 59 and 44 attempts and 300 yards in each, you have to take their WRs seriously.
Curtis Samuel — I touched on him in the stacks. At 5.1K and 4.6K each, he and Dotson are extreme stand-alone values. Samuel should be over 6K if his role continues. He’s being heavily targeted and they’re designing run plays for him.
Value WRs — Who can we look to under 5K?
KJ Osborn — Very thin play here, but Thielen is a NON-FACTOR right now. Leaves Jefferson and Irv Smith, Dalvin Cook at RB, and then there’s Osborn. Very slow start to the season and yet he’s still priced up at 4.9K while others below him are seeing targets. The price alone says he should be targeted more. IF you believe in the matchup and the game environment, he should be in Cousins stacks.
Treylon Burks — One of a list of rookies off to a decent start. Also 4.9K and seems to be emerging as the #1 target. The Raiders are a middle of the road matchup for him.
Jahan Dotson — Continues to be on the field in their 3WR sets with McLaurin and Samuel, and Logan Thomas at TE. For the price and the targets, 3 TDs so far at 4.6K he is borderline a lock and needs to be mixed into Wentz stacks.
Chris Olave — Next rookie up. 4.5K and saw over 300 air yards from Winston. Jameis is looking to him down the field and they will eventually connect.
Greg Dortch — Double digit fantasy points each week. Aside from Zach Ertz who else is Kyler going to pass it to?
Devin Duvernay — We have to expect New England to take Mark Andrews or Rashod Bateman away from Lamar. Leaves the speedster to soak up targets at 4K.
Mack Hollins — 3.3K and Hunter Renfrow has been ruled out. Saw a heavy dose of targets in Week 2. Yes, he’s behind Waller and Adams, but nothing so far to fear about the Titans defense.
Jake Kumerow — Minimum price at 3K. More of a play if Gabe Davis is ruled out, or we get news he’s on a “pitch count.” 50 yards in Week 2 with no Gabe Davis and it was him and not Ike McKenzie or Jamison Crowder.
Running Back –
Dalvin Cook — A+ matchup vs Detroit. After a primetime let down many will shy away from Minnesota. It’s just a great game environment and is a classic bounce back spot for the entire offense.
Joe Mixon — All depends on Burrow moving the ball. He’s catching passes and will be used inside the 5 consistently if the offense bounces back.
DeAndre Swift — We need to know his ankle is truly better than last week and whether or not he will be on a “pitch count” as he was in Week 2. Aside from that on paper he is a great play.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire — The Chiefs manufacturer touches to him inside the 5 and he has a high TD equity. All pieces of the offense are in play.
Miles Sanders — At 5.5K will be one of my heaviest owned RBs. Hurts takes away TD equity, but the price reflects it…as does the backfield timeshare with Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott. He still has 30 rush attempts, 5 rec and 1 TD. He has a 96-yard game, and if he eclipses 100 yards he will smash. I love the Eagles offense as a whole. They are rolling.
Jamaal Williams — If Swift is limited or has a setback.
Honorable Mentions –
David Montgomery and Dameon Pierce — This could be one of few games either could play with a lead. Pierce took over lead duties over Burkhead Week 2 and that should continue. This could be a classic 20 carry, 80+ yards and 2TD week for Montgomery. This is not the best game environment but unless the game ends in a 6–6 tie (highly possible) someone has to score.
Tight End
Travis Kelce — Smash play and allows you to roster WR numbers at the TE spot. I’m using WRs in the flex and gives you a chance at 5 ceiling plays here. Mahomes’ favorite target by a mile.
Darren Waller — Should be very effective this week vs Tennessee as we saw Dawson Knox have a good game here last week.
Kyle Pitts — At this point we are betting on talent. 1000 yards as a 20 year old rookie playing with a new QB. Could secretly be a good matchup for an Atlanta offense that many will stay away from.
Dallas Goedert — The Eagles offense is rolling, and you can stack him with Hurts.
Zach Ertz — He will not get any yards after catch (YAC), but he will get a lot of targets and TD chances.
Tyler Higbee — Will continue to operate as Stafford’s #2WR and we love the TE matchup vs Arizona.
Gerald Everett — Will need a healthy Herbert, but any limits on Keenan Allen and Everett will continue to excel.
Dawson Knox — Needs to be included in Allen stacks.
Tyler Conklin — Thin play, but he has a 300-yard QB in Flacco in a game with a potential to shootout.
Logan Thomas — Has a solid role in the Washington offense and he’s a big red zone target.
Irv Smith — Can play in Cousins stacks or stand alone for his value at 3.1K. There are a lot of TEs this week.
Juwan Johnson — At 2.9K he’s seen 12 targets over 2 games and the Saints appear to be content letting Winston throw which is good for all of his receiving corps.
Defense — We can go a lot of ways here as there are some hidden gems on the slate.
Chiefs — Good defensive line matchup vs an aging slow Matt Ryan.
Bills — Also a good defensive line matchup. Will be interesting to see if they can continue to dominate vs this pass happy offense.
Rams — I do buy into attacking Kyler until they turn things around.
Eagles — If you’re not buying Wentz long term, this would be a good chance to attack in a division game. He is not mobile and will play from behind leading to a lot of drop backs.
Houston — They’re cheap and Chicago is not passing the ball. Plus, you get a revenge game for head coach Lovie Smith.
Jags — At 2.3K its dicey vs the Chargers. But with Josh Allen and their defensive front, what if Herbert is limited, or playing hurt and not playing well?
Raiders — Not the most dominate defense but with Maxx Crosby and Chandler Jones on the defensive line they have an A+ matchup vs the Titans.
