The Week 2 OSG Report

Week 1 is in the BOOKS. We did have a good week of player pool building. Let’s continue to build on that we chase that #1 spot. So here we go…Week 2…LET’S GO!!!

Quarterback

Dak Prescott vs Justin Herbert — This game features the highest week total and should be two popular QBs. Dak looks great. Michael Gallup is likely out. Stack him with Amari Cooper or CeeDee Lamb.

Justin “300-yard machine” Herbert stepped up vs a tough Washington defense and delivered 337 yards. Now comes a much easier contest..at home. Add in Dallas is down 2 DE rushers, namely DeMarcus Lawrence. Keenan Allen is the 100-yard and a TD stack mate here. New OC is determined to use Mike Williams “differently” and started week 1 with a healthy target share. Both TE’s are playable here in Dalton Schultz (Dallas) and Jared Cook (LAC).

Kirk Cousins vs Kyler Murray — Was it AZ’s defense, or Tennessee slow out of the gate? If AZ pass rush is that great with Chandler Jones back in from a torn pectoral last season, Capt. Kirk has more experience at delivering under pressure, but still, something to note. I still feel Kirk is a top play this week alongside Adam “catch the TD Feeling” Thielen, and Justin Jefferson. I do have a lot of interest in KJ Osborn at 3.3K on Dk. While many flock to the new sexy pick in Jefferson, do not forsake the vet in Thielen.

On AZ’s side…two words… DeAndre Hopkins. The chemistry continues…His dominance continues. The real question is Rondale Moore or Christian Kirk? Yes, we all saw the TDs from Kirk, but they both had a 16% target share, and Moore went 4/68/0. I’m still leaning the rookie’s chances to eventually be the number 2 guy over Kirk and see AJ Green slide to 4th as the season progresses.

Matt Stafford — If Sunday’s night game was on the main slate, I would have started and stopped with Stafford. He’s great. He’s in great shape, and he is finally on a good team, with good weapons and a great coach. Fire him right back up here. He delivered 10 targets to Cooper Kupp whom grabbed 7 for 108 and a TD…That continues week in and week out.

Teddy Bridgewater — Part price driven at 5.4K on DK, Teddy B looked great in Denver. I hate Jerry Jeudy went down during a good game, so now we are back to watch who to stack with. I’ll likely go Teddy Solo, but Teddy B should do great here vs JAX as we saw they make Tyrod Taylor look like TyGod Taylor…

Josh Allen — Stefan Diggs. End of paragraph. I did recommend staying off the Allen train vs Pitt. That was right. Even in that tough matchup, Diggs managed 16 PPR points, and Cole Beasley saw 8 targets, and grabbed 8 Rec. Diggs lit up Miami for 15/229/1 in two games last season, and despite Miami’s defense, Allen has had a tremendous track record vs current head coach in Miami.

Jalen Hurts — We recommended playing Hurts naked last week as we clarify his target tree. Hurts was GREAT in his opener and peppered former college teammate Devonta Smith with 8 targets going 6/71/1. Can also play Jalen Reagor here as well.

Tom Brady — With all the QBs with the rushing upside, The GOAT often gets overlooked in DFS. In a plus-draw at home vs Atlanta (60% chance of rain), just stack Tom Terrific with everybody.

Antonio Brown. Chris Godwin. Rob Gronkowski. Mike Evans. He’s sure to go to Evans after a dud in week 1, as I think Godwin and Evans alternate good games throughout the season. AB will be this explosive each week. Gronk has snatched 15/16 targets over his last 3. The pair are IN SYNC. PERIOD.

Baker Mayfield — TD Maker Baker is back in action after a near upset of KC with a cupcake match vs Houston. The Browns ain’t the JAGS,…this aint’ even the Old Browns. OBJ is out again, and Jarvis Landry has hit 19 or more PPR points with NO OBJ.

Honorable Mention: Russell Wilson — He fell behind the top-8 based solely on weather concerns. I do believe Chris Carson is the play in that game, but if we approach 3PM CT, and rain is not going to be a major issue, then that bumps Russ. So, pay attention to NFL Weather this Sunday.

Wide Receiver

First and foremost, each WR mentioned with their QBs above are ALL IN PLAY even without stacks. The Dallas WRs, Keenan Allen, D-Hop, Cooper Kupp, and KJ Osborn are among my favorites. Who else can we look at to fill in those rosters Sunday?

Calvin Ridley — In 3 games vs defensive coordinator in Tampa Todd Bowles: 6/85/1. 10/163/1. 8/52/0. He’s the #1 guy here, and any performance by Matt Ryan (who did not look great) starts and stops here. If the game gets back and forth, Ridley will be heavily involved.

Ja’Marr Chase — He did not drop those wide-open passes as predicted. Also as predicted, he’s showing chemistry with Joe Burrow. He played 90% of the snaps and hauled in 5/101/1 from 7 targets. The Bears pass rush can be legit, but we said that about Minnesota last week vs Burrow. Of course, Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins could steal the show each week, but I love the rookie here again.

Deebo Samuels — Just like Friday…” DEE-BO” is coming again. While I perceive Philly has always having a suspect secondary, they looked better (or was it Matt Ryan?) Regardless, he’s the #1 man in SF.

“Questionable” Wide Receivers — Some WRs will not always jump off the page. A deeper dive gives some insight to some roster fillers…Solid WRs who are in position to garner a high percentage of their teams target share.

Brandin Cooks — Tyrod Taylor showed “some life” vs JAX. While they face a tough defense in Cleveland, he’s 5.9K and is the #1 WR, and The Chiefs (while the Texans ARE NOT KC), moved the ball thru the air as opposed to the ground vs that tough defensive front.

Corey Davis — Holding up to camp reports, Davis was the go-to guy for the rookie QB in New York. He’s priced at 5.3K as the #1WR.

Jakobi Meyers — On the other side of the Pats/Jets game, Meyers saw 9 targets in week 1 from a confident looking Mac Jones vs a decently well Miami defense. They now get a MUCH easier draw vs the Jets. At 5.1K, he could be New England’s leading man.

Potential Value WRs

We mentioned with the stacks KJ Osborn (Minn) Rondale Moore and Christian Kirk (AZ) Cole Beasley (Buff) and DeVonta Smith (Philly)

Add to the list of price savers:

Terrace Marshall — He’s at the #3 spot behind DJ Moore (5.9K) and Robby Anderson (5.8K) and technically Christian McCaffrey, but he’s only 3.3K with explosiveness. Robby Anderson outside of the TD bomb, did not necessarily “dominate the #2 spot,”, so at that price, I’m going to continue to ride these cheap rookies. All it takes is one play. The Saints secondary is banged up beginning with Lattimore, so there is potential opportunity in each piece of this Carolina offense AT HOME.

Marquez Callaway — Regarding the Saints offense, I’m taking NOTHING away from week 1 outside of the fact that Alvin Kamara is going to dominate touches. It was a blowout, and they did NOT need the passing game despite Winston’s TD tosses from very little volume. EVERYBODY played Callaway including myself, and he did NOTHING. I still believe that in a close game, he’s the #1 WR outside of Kamara. His price rose to 4.2K and he should be very little owned. The Jets moved the ball with “ease” from rookie vs Carolina. I’ll take the Saints offense to do similar. 6/80/1 is my prediction.

Running Back

Nick Chubb — My week 1 favorite RB did NOT disappoint, and I think he returns in a positive game script to be even better vs a leaky defensive front in HOU with a 30.3 team implied total.

Dalvin Cook — He saw 26-touches week 1 and is right back at it. At 9.1K, it will be interesting to see if AZ attempts to stack the box as they did vs The Big Dog and force Cousins to throw more. Like Tennessee, Minnesota will NOT abandon the run as most teams do when playing from behind.

Derrick Henry — Speaking of The Big Dog, I do believe he is in the best spot for the Titans on the road at Seattle vs a better than perceived defense. IF WEATHER is a factor, that in itself should boost Henry’s attempts.

Chris Carson — On the “othersideofthegame” is possibly the best RB play of the day. We saw AZ who is usually not as interested in establishing the run give James Conner 16 efficient touches and Chase Edmonds passing work. Now we see Seattle here at home as favorites, who want to establish the run despite letting Rus cook. He had 19 touches last week, and at 6.1K he should see 20–25 here vs a leaky defensive front.

Ezekiel Elliott vs Austin Ekeler — The week’s highest total game features two more than capable RBs. Zeek at 6.2K, and Ekeler at 7.3K are just the kind of pass catching, touch dominating backs you want on your roster. Elliot’s week 1 box score will scare most, but Tampa’s front is good vs the run, forcing Dak to throw more. Herbert is going for 350 here, so Ekeler is an excellent play.

Alvin Kamara — Like Cook, his price is high at 8.8K. However, you know the resume. 20+ touches. Pass game work. Goal line work. TD upside. Favored despite being on the road in what should be a much closer game than week 1.

Najee Harris — He was the ONLY RB to touch the football in week 1 for the Steelers. Now they draw an ever-easier draw vs Da RRRRRAAAAAIDERS as 5.5 home favorites. At 6.3K he will play the new Le’Veon Bell role as the Steelers ALWAYS ALWAYS fully uses their RBs.

Jonathan Taylor — I just do not know how to fit him in. He saw 23 touches vs that Seattle defense. We saw despite the blowout David Montgomery go for 100+ vs this Rams defense who is tremendous at the pass rush but allows you to rush. He is probably the Colts best skill position player…. quarterback included.

Javonte Williams (Denver) — I should asterisk Melvin Gordon here, but I lean Williams. He’s younger and fresher, and split the work down the middle with Gordon. Take away the long TD, and Gordon’s box score is meh and Williams at 4.4K is going to be heavily involved in a team who uses their RBs vs Gordon’s 5.4K price tag.

Tight End — If you can nail a TE to be productive, it is very valuable to your roster construction. Some are high-priced, but it’s a free square if you can nail the cheap TE production.

Darren Waller — Speaking of high priced (Travis Kelce is NOT on the main slate), let’s start with Darren “The Baller” Waller. He saw a ridiculous 19-targets vs a tough Baltimore defense. It does NOT get better with the Steel Curtain, but he is matchup-proof at this point.

George Kittle — I am not hearing much buzz about Kittle. At 6.4K vs Deebo’s 6.7K price tag, I’m going to challenge the middle of Philly’s field, as for years it’s been a problem. They’re road favorites, traveling West to East for a 1PM EST start time, but SF has beaten that over and over. I think Kittle is week 2’s TE1 or 2.

Rob Gronkowski — See above stats with Tom Brady…but he’s back.

Tyler Higbee — Aside from Kittle, price included, I think Higbee is my favorite TE of the week. He’s 4.1K, and saw a 100% playing clip. He caught a modest 5/68/1. Stafford heavily relied on TJ Hockenson in Detroit.

Kyle Pitts — I’m going right back to the well with the rookie. He shared a 23% target share with Calvin Ridley. I hate that Hayden Hurst is still involved here, but Atlanta carries two TEs usually, and Ryan USES his TEs. Tampa allowed 10 efficient targets to Dallas TEs in Week 1.

Dallas Goedert — Bump here to Goedert at 4.6K if Zach Ertz is ruled out. TJ Hockenson had a great game week 1 vs this 49ers defense.

Pharaoh Brown — I may be reaching here for Brown, BUT he’s 2.9K. 15% target share week 1. 76% snap rate. Saw 5 targets from Tyrod Taylor. While he’s no Travis Kelce, but I ALWAYS FOR YEARS played the TEs vs Cleveland. Houston is guaranteed to play from behind. And if they lead at any point (which I doubt) it’s the passing game.

Defense

Steelers — First of all, we can play Pittsburgh EVERY SINGLE WEEK. They limited to the best as you can Josh Allen, even securing the win as road dogs. That was mainly defense. Now comes the Raiders fresh from an emotional, home-opening with fans rallying win for a cross-country, short-week 1PM EST start time potential letdown spot. FIRE THEM UP…

Broncos — The Jags looked less than stellar, and whatever step that is, it was less than that. The Broncos once again travel East but showed no signs of jetlag. Road favorites once again, their defensive front should tee off here.

Buccaneers — In fact THIS IS WHO ATLANTA IS…then it’s going to be a long afternoon for Matty Ice vs this defensive front.

Cardinals — Also, if THIS IS WHO THIS DEFENSIVE FRONT IS, you can tee them every week. Volume and higher amount of drop backs are going to be a trend for every opponent of Arizona this season as Murray and company will push the tempo week in and week out with quick scores, and the pressure to keep up. Chandler Jones is every bit as good as advertised.

Rams — Every chance for any defense with this dangerous of a pass rush to go against washed, slow-footed Carson Wentz is an opportunity to feast… Carson…. meet Aaron Donald.

Browns — If the Tyrod Taylor lead Texans are in for a rude-awakening, it begins week 2 vs this Cleveland pass rush.